Even during their struggles, Basaksehir remained resilient on home soil, and it is no coincidence that their winless run ended with a home win. The hosts will be too strong for the visitors who have been poor, especially on the road, which is why we are predicting a win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Hatayspor
60.49% ( -1.47)	22.26% ( 0.55)	17.25% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34% (

-0.71)

48.67% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-0.65)

70.78% (

0.66)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0.71)

15.65% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

-1.35)

44.68% (

1.35)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

0.74)

41.73% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

0.64)

78.2% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 60.49%

Hatayspor 17.25%

Draw 22.26%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Hatayspor
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 60.49%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.25%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Hatayspor

Istanbul Basaksehir

100%

Draw

0.0%

Hatayspor

0.0%

Head to Head

Apr 27, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 34

Hatayspor

1-2

Istanbul

Dadasov (73')
Rivas (61')

Piatek (5'), Kemen (69')
Atan (0'), Ilkhan (23'), Souza (25'), Duarte (63')

> Preview

Dec 10, 2023 1pm

Gameweek 15

Istanbul

1-0

Hatayspor

Abeid (11')
Opoku (20'), Atan (21'), Babacan (81'), (90+7')
Opoku (90+6')

Strandberg (64'), Rivas (86'), Kardesler (90+5')

> Preview

Apr 30, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 32

Istanbul

3-0

Hatayspor

Nov 7, 2022 5pm

Gameweek 13

Hatayspor

3-3

Istanbul

Yildirim (12'), El Kaabi (75'), Luis (81')

Traore (60'), Aleksic (65'), Gurler (90+1')

> Preview

Apr 24, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 34

Istanbul

3-0

Hatayspor

Turuc (65', 88'), Tekdemir (77')
Epureanu (36')

Sackey (87')

> Preview

Form Guide

Istanbul 4-1 Goztepe SK

Istanbul 1-1 Petrocub

Gaziantep 3-0 Istanbul

Istanbul 0-0 Besiktas

Copenhagen 2-2 Istanbul

Konyaspor 3-2 Istanbul

Hatayspor 1-1 Besiktas

Konyaspor 1-1 Hatayspor

Hatayspor 3-1 Gaziantep

Eyupspor 2-0 Hatayspor

Hatayspor 0-1 Kayserispor

Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor

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Transfer Talk

Istanbul
3 - 0
Hatayspor