Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest BB Erzurumspor win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.