Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.