Having recovered their form in recent weeks, Besiktas should have enough to win on home soil in this Istanbul derby. Istanbulspor have proved they are a threat, but the sides they have beaten in the last three games have all been a level below Besiktas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 80.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Istanbulspor
80.16% ( 0.04)	12.62% ( -0.02)	7.21% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.38% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.05% (

29.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.87% (

51.13% (

-0)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.23% (

0.01)

5.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.78% (

0.02)

22.21% (

-0.02)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.46% (

-0.05)

46.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.87% (

-0.04)

82.13% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 80.15%

Istanbulspor 7.21%

Draw 12.62%

Besiktas	Draw	Istanbulspor
2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 4.36% Total : 80.15%	1-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.68% Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.62%	1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 7.21%