We said: Trabzonspor 2-0 Sivasspor
No Turkish side has come and beat Trabzonspor on their own patch in over 18 months, and despite Sivasspor's shock win at Basaksehir in their last outing on the road, a repeat is very unlikely.
Trabzonspor's four Super Lig home games have produced just six goals this season though, so attacking opportunities may be at a premium, meaning the hosts will have to take their chances when they come.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Trabzonspor.
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