Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
3 - 1
Trabzonspor

Ben Yedder (14', 45+2' pen.), Disasi (55')
Vanderson (22'), Diatta (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakasetas (72')
Denswil (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Kayserispor 1-2 Trabzonspor
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Monaco 2-1 Trabzonspor

There is a lot of quality on each side, so we expect to see at least a goal or two in this match, though we are giving Monaco a slight edge because of their convincing domestic victories of late, and the fact that Ben Yedder seems to be back in form. The Turkish outfit have struggled away from home, and the fact they have conceded seven goals in their previous three away matches in all competitions does not leave us with much confidence that they can shut down an in-form attack like Les Monegasques. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Trabzonspor
49.98% ( 0.02)	23.24% ( -0.08)	26.78% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

0.41)

41.61% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.99% (

0.42)

64.01% (

-0.42)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

0.16)

16.8% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.23% (

0.29)

46.76% (

-0.29)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

0.26)

28.71% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

0.32)

64.54% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Monaco 49.98%

Trabzonspor 26.78%

Draw 23.23%

Monaco	Draw	Trabzonspor
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 26.78%