There is a lot of quality on each side, so we expect to see at least a goal or two in this match, though we are giving Monaco a slight edge because of their convincing domestic victories of late, and the fact that Ben Yedder seems to be back in form.
The Turkish outfit have struggled away from home, and the fact they have conceded seven goals in their previous three away matches in all competitions does not leave us with much confidence that they can shut down an in-form attack like Les Monegasques.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.08) 
