Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.