Lugano

3 - 1

Servette

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.