Vaduz

0 - 2

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.