Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 2Mafra
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Chaves and Mafra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Vizela
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Mafra |
54.21% ( 0.06) | 23.43% | 22.36% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.07) | 46.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.07) | 68.95% ( 0.07) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.01) | 17.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.01) | 47.34% ( 0) |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.1) | 35.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.13% ( -0.1) | 71.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 54.21%
Mafra 22.36%
Draw 23.42%
| Chaves | Draw | Mafra |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 22.36% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Mafra
Chaves
83.3%Draw
16.7%Mafra
0.0%6
