Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
47.91% ( -0.21) | 28.13% ( 0.08) | 23.96% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.39% ( -0.17) | 62.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.81% ( -0.12) | 82.18% ( 0.12) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.24) | 61.49% ( 0.24) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.41% ( 0.02) | 42.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.06% ( 0.02) | 78.94% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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