Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Chaves |
74.11% (![]() | 16% (![]() | 9.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.53% (![]() | 37.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.31% (![]() | 59.69% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.35% (![]() | 8.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.18% (![]() | 29.82% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.05% (![]() | 45.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.32% (![]() | 81.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 11.9% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 7.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 16% | 0-1 @ 3.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |