Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
50.28% ( 0.01) | 26.19% ( 0) | 23.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( -0.02) | 56.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.02) | 77.45% ( 0.02) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( -0) | 22.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( -0.01) | 56.1% ( 0.01) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( -0.03) | 39.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( -0.02) | 76.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |