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Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
May 30, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

USA U20s
4 - 0
New Zealand U20s

Wolff (14'), Cowell (61'), Che (75'), Pukstas (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Under-20 World Cup clash between USA Under-20s and New Zealand Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovakia U20s 0-2 USA U20s
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: New Zealand U20s 0-5 Argentina U20s
Friday, May 26 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: USA Under-20s 2-0 New Zealand Under-20s

Demonstrating excellent defensive nous in the group stage, the USA will be firm favourites to get the job done over an unspectacular New Zealand side and may be licking their lips at the prospect of a few goals after watching Argentina's performance against the Junior All Whites. The Yanks should not score at a similar rate to their South American counterparts, but we still expect Varas's side to encounter few roadblocks en route to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for New Zealand Under-20s had a probability of 6.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a New Zealand Under-20s win it was 0-1 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.

Result
USA Under-20sDrawNew Zealand Under-20s
80.1%13.19%6.71%
Both teams to score 44.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56%57.44%
USA Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.1%6.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.65%25.35%
New Zealand Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98%86.02%
Score Analysis
    USA Under-20s 80.09%
    New Zealand Under-20s 6.71%
    Draw 13.2%
USA Under-20sDrawNew Zealand Under-20s
2-0 @ 12.83%
3-0 @ 11.43%
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 8.38%
4-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-1 @ 4.99%
5-0 @ 4.09%
5-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.44%
6-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 80.09%
1-1 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 3.59%
2-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.2%
0-1 @ 2.35%
1-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 6.71%

How you voted: USA U20s vs New Zealand U20s

USA Under-20s
89.5%
New Zealand Under-20s
10.5%
19
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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