European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni
England U21s1 - 0Portugal U21s
The Match
Match Report
England set up an Under-21 Euro 2023 semi-final clash with Israel thanks to a nail-biting 1-0 win over Portugal Under-21s in Sunday's quarter-final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between England Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Germany U21s
Wednesday, June 28 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Wednesday, June 28 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Under-21s | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Israel Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic Under-21s | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Portugal U21s 2-1 Belgium U21s
Tuesday, June 27 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Tuesday, June 27 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Georgia Under-21s | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Netherlands Under-21s | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Belgium Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-21s | Draw | Portugal Under-21s |
29.93% ( 0.42) | 23% ( 0.04) | 47.07% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
