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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
Spain national football team

Romania U21s
0 - 3
Spain U21s


Dican (73'), Ticu (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baena (55'), Miranda (62'), Gomez (90+5')
Pacheco (19'), Baena (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Romania Under-21s and Spain Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Germany U21s 0-0 Romania U21s
Tuesday, March 30 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 0-1 Portugal U21s
Thursday, June 3 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Romania Under-21s 1-3 Spain Under-21s

With Romania motivated to make an impression in front of their own supporters, we expect them to provide Spain with a stiff test. Nevertheless, La Rojita should have more than enough quality to begin their campaign in perfect fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Romania Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
14.72% (-23.571 -23.57) 18.58% (-1.99 -1.99) 66.71% (25.561 25.56)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-19.444 -19.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.03% (-13.795 -13.8)36.97% (13.793 13.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.84% (-16.658 -16.66)59.16% (16.658 16.66)
Romania Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (-24.062 -24.06)37.81% (24.062 24.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (-33.562 -33.56)74.58% (33.562 33.56)
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73% (2.491 2.49)10.26% (-2.492 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (5.396 5.4)33.63% (-5.397 -5.4)
Score Analysis
    Romania Under-21s 14.72%
    Spain Under-21s 66.7%
    Draw 18.58%
Romania Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.18% (-2.931 -2.93)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.294 0.29)
2-0 @ 1.84% (-1.617 -1.62)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-3.3 -3.3)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-3.348 -3.35)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.72%
1-1 @ 8.59% (1.427 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-2.563 -2.56)
0-0 @ 3.88% (2.127 2.13)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-2.154 -2.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.58%
0-2 @ 10.05% (6.333 6.33)
1-2 @ 9.78% (2.405 2.41)
0-1 @ 8.83% (5.224 5.22)
0-3 @ 7.63% (5.08 5.08)
1-3 @ 7.42% (2.359 2.36)
0-4 @ 4.34% (3.03 3.03)
1-4 @ 4.22% (1.618 1.62)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-1.414 -1.41)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.531 -0.53)
0-5 @ 1.98% (1.436 1.44)
1-5 @ 1.92% (0.85 0.85)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.7%

How you voted: Romania U21s vs Spain U21s

Romania Under-21s
2.9%
Draw
8.6%
Spain Under-21s
88.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2019 5.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain U21s
1-0
Romania U21s
Merino (66')
Merino (27')

Dragus (50'), Gheorghe (55'), Stefan (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
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9Aston Villa188462629-328
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11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
12Brentford177283232023
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
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18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1813141137-266


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