MX23RW : Friday, March 14 13:20:53| >> :600:53062635:53062635:
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
NSK Olimpiyskiy
Croatia national football team

Ukraine U21s
2 - 0
Croatia U21s

Kashchuk (19'), Sikan (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kacavenda (16'), Stojkovic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Ukraine Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 3-0 N. Ireland U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Ukraine Under-21s 1-1 Croatia Under-21s

With both teams having been required to come through the playoffs, this should make for a hotly-contested match. With that in mind, we can only back a draw, a result which each side would take ahead of their upcoming fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
23.06% (-15.226 -15.23) 20.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 56.56% (15.418 15.42)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-9.686 -9.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (-8.428 -8.43)31.61% (8.428 8.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (-10.604 -10.6)53.1% (10.605 10.61)
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-12.358 -12.36)26.1% (12.36 12.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-20.147 -20.15)61.17% (20.148 20.15)
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (1.485 1.49)11.27% (-1.484 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.12% (3.15 3.15)35.88% (-3.149 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-21s 23.06%
    Croatia Under-21s 56.56%
    Draw 20.38%
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.79% (-1.317 -1.32)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.472 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-2.012 -2.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-2.11 -2.11)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-1.096 -1.1)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-1.453 -1.45)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 8.63% (1.461 1.46)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.997 -1)
0-0 @ 2.94% (1.189 1.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-1.264 -1.26)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 9.42% (2.039 2.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (3.293 3.29)
1-3 @ 6.85% (1.788 1.79)
0-1 @ 6.42% (2.813 2.81)
0-3 @ 5.1% (2.55 2.55)
2-3 @ 4.6% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-4 @ 3.74% (1.133 1.13)
0-4 @ 2.78% (1.471 1.47)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.559 0.56)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.674 0.67)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.587 -0.59)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.56%

How you voted: Ukraine U21s vs Croatia U21s

Ukraine Under-21s
21.1%
Draw
39.5%
Croatia Under-21s
39.5%
38
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!