Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
