Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Mariupol2 - 3Chornomorets
Kulakov (13'), Myshnyov (82' pen.)
Shostak (45'), Mampasi (55'), V'Yunnik (77'), Kulakov (90+3')
Shostak (45'), Mampasi (55'), V'Yunnik (77'), Kulakov (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Chornomorets Odesa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mariupol | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 31.16% | 25.59% | 43.24% |
| Both teams to score 54.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
