Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo
Vorskla0 - 5Shakhtar
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Shakhtar Donetsk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Minai 0-1 Vorskla
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Shakhtar
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
17.5% ( -0.23) | 21.17% ( -0.21) | 61.32% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 53.13% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( 0.53) | 43.6% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% ( 0.51) | 65.99% ( -0.52) |
Vorskla Poltava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.58% ( 0.03) | 38.41% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.83% ( 0.04) | 75.17% ( -0.04) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.28% ( 0.3) | 13.71% ( -0.31) |