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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2022 at 11am UK
Slavutych-Arena
Metal Kharkiv

Luhansk
3 - 2
Metal Kharkiv

Churko (72'), Myshnyov (89'), Shakhov (90+3')
Brazhko (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pidlepenets (58' pen.), Panasenko (74')
Kostik (76'), Kartushov (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Metal Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-3 Luhansk
Friday, October 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Lviv 1-1 Metal Kharkiv
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawMetal Kharkiv
43.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.93% (0.0040000000000013 0) 32.87% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.75% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)41.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)19.42% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.61% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.055999999999997 0.06)59.12% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 43.2%
    Metal Kharkiv 32.87%
    Draw 23.93%
Zorya LuhanskDrawMetal Kharkiv
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.87%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev17134037112643
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya17115126121438
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar16103341152633
4Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi169432213931
5Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya177642416827
6Karpaty LvivKarpaty177372221124
7Rukh Lviv175842114723
8Zorya LuhanskLuhansk167181820-222
9Veres174761724-719
10LNZ CherkasyCherkasy175481826-819
11Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka173951112-118
12Vorskla PoltavaVorskla174491525-1016
13Livyi Bereh17449920-1116
14Obolon KyivObolon173591029-1914
15Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets1733111125-1412
16Inhulets161691231-199


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