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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2022 at 11am UK
Slavutych-Arena
Metal Kharkiv

Luhansk
3 - 2
Metal Kharkiv

Churko (72'), Myshnyov (89'), Shakhov (90+3')
Brazhko (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pidlepenets (58' pen.), Panasenko (74')
Kostik (76'), Kartushov (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Metal Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-3 Luhansk
Friday, October 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Metal Kharkiv

All competitions
Last Game: Lviv 1-1 Metal Kharkiv
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawMetal Kharkiv
43.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.93% (0.0040000000000013 0) 32.87% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.75% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)41.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)19.42% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.61% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.055999999999997 0.06)59.12% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 43.2%
    Metal Kharkiv 32.87%
    Draw 23.93%
Zorya LuhanskDrawMetal Kharkiv
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.87%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev13112032102235
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya1210202171432
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar1392237122529
4Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya1264220101022
5Karpaty LvivKarpaty146351617-121
6Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi125431311219
7LNZ CherkasyCherkasy145361520-518
8Vorskla PoltavaVorskla144461418-416
9Rukh Lviv12363169715
10Veres133641416-215
11Zorya LuhanskLuhansk135081317-415
12Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka14275811-313
13Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets14338917-812
14Livyi Bereh13238417-139
15Obolon KyivObolon13238626-209
16Inhulets14068929-206
> Ukrainian Premier League Full Table


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