Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Campeones Olímpicos

Boston River
2 - 3
Defensor

Fernandez (56'), Rodriguez (71')
Corbo (9'), Fernandez (62'), Perez (62'), Viega (79'), Alberti (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Balboa (20'), Duarte (41'), Sant'Anna (77')
de los Santos (67'), Camargo (78'), Duarte (81'), Sant'Anna (85')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Defensor Sporting
19.62% ( 0.01)	26.21% ( 0.02)	54.16% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.21% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

-0.05)

60.07% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

-0.04)

80.29% (

0.04)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37% (

-0.02)

45.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.57% (

-0.02)

81.43% (

0.02)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

-0.03)

22.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15% (

-0.05)

55.85% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Boston River 19.62%

Defensor Sporting 54.15%

Draw 26.21%

Boston River	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.62%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 15.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.15%