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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Oct 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Nacional


Cosentino (1'), Rabino (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (48')
Bentancourt (22'), Oliva (35'), Lopez (69'), Pereyra (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Penarol
Sunday, October 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
17.26% (-0.984 -0.98) 23.74% (-0.058 -0.06) 58.99% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-1.56 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-1.144 -1.14)54.39% (1.146 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.964 -0.96)75.77% (0.96499999999999 0.96)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.89% (-1.878 -1.88)45.1% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.98% (-1.535 -1.54)81.02% (1.537 1.54)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)18.21% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)49.22% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 17.26%
    Nacional 58.98%
    Draw 23.74%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.43% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 17.26%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 11.91% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.77% (0.271 0.27)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.88% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 58.98%

Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
0-4
Nacional

Acosta (9'), Assis (14'), Prado (45+13'), Silveira (45+16'), Brasil (45+20'), Nunez (45+3'), Rabino (55'), de Luca Ibargoyen (87')
Brasil (45+21'), Silveira (90+1')
Pereyra (13'), Sanabria (45+8'), Galeano (49'), Santander (75')
Gonzalez (43'), Bentancourt (45'), Pereyra (45+7'), Polenta (66')
Apr 6, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')
Aug 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
Feb 10, 2023 11pm
rhs 2.0
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