Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Palermo
La Luz2 - 3Wanderers
Royon (34' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Royon (76'), Carrera (88'), Hernandez (90+3')
Ancheta (90+5')
Royon (76'), Carrera (88'), Hernandez (90+3')
Ancheta (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carrera (56' og.), Milan (79'), Albarracin (90+4')
Garcia (49'), Risso (73'), Albarracin (90+4')
Garcia (49'), Risso (73'), Albarracin (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, July 1 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 1 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 4-0 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 1 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
36.25% ( 0.03) | 27.43% ( 0.01) | 36.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
