MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 07:10:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

La Luz
3 - 1
Danubio

Schiappacasse (16', 77'), Quintana (82')
de los Santos (39'), Royon (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romero (90+2')
Lewis (32'), Sosa (51'), Romero (77'), Etchebarne (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 1-1 Danubio
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
La LuzDrawDanubio
35.54% (0.113 0.11) 26.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 37.9% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)52.58% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)74.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.019999999999996 0.02)28.35% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.09% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)26.97% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (-0.165 -0.16)62.31% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    La Luz 35.54%
    Danubio 37.9%
    Draw 26.56%
La LuzDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.9%

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