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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK
 

La Luz
1 - 3
Racing

Schiappacasse (68')
Mendez (21'), Porcile (75'), Ancheta (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gorocito (8', 17', 23' pen.)
Gorocito (27'), Mendez (84'), Rey (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 La Luz
Friday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Wanderers
Sunday, March 19 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 29.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
La LuzDrawRacing de Montevideo
29.21% (0.406 0.41) 30.3% (0.087 0.09) 40.49% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 40.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.22% (-0.136 -0.14)66.78% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88% (-0.093 -0.09)85.12% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66% (0.255 0.25)40.34% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (0.23 0.23)76.96% (-0.229 -0.23)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)32.46% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.412 -0.41)68.99% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    La Luz 29.2%
    Racing de Montevideo 40.48%
    Draw 30.29%
La LuzDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.29%
0-1 @ 14.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 40.48%

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