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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 14, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
vs.
Nacional

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 Progreso
Saturday, November 30 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Progreso vs. Penarol
Saturday, February 1 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Boston River
Sunday, December 1 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Torque vs. Nacional
Sunday, February 2 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 71.36%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (13.07%) and 0-3 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (4.07%).

Result
ProgresoDrawNacional
10.27%18.36%71.36%
Both teams to score 42.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8%47.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57%69.43%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.4%51.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26%85.74%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09%11.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.75%37.25%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 10.27%
    Nacional 71.35%
    Draw 18.36%
ProgresoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 4.07%
2-1 @ 2.86%
2-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.27%
1-1 @ 8.65%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.36%
0-2 @ 13.91%
0-1 @ 13.07%
0-3 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 9.21%
1-3 @ 6.53%
0-4 @ 5.25%
1-4 @ 3.47%
0-5 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-5 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 71.35%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 5
Progreso
0-3
Nacional

Alles (18'), Asconeguy (33'), Gonzalez (60'), Lemmo (78'), Castillo (81')
Coates (45+2'), Mereles de la Quintana (60'), Recoba (66')
Castro (12'), Bentancourt (13')
Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
0-0
Progreso
Zabala (72'), Santander (89'), Polenta (90+7')
Viera (18'), Marta (31'), Colman (60'), Lemmo (87'), Silva (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
0-1
Progreso

Rodriguez (52'), Ocampo (60'), Polenta (89'), Fernandez (90+4')
Colman (57')
Olaizola (4'), Asconeguy (45'), Andrada (64'), Gottesman (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
1-3
Nacional
Fernandez (59')
Ramis (21'), Alles (33'), Asconeguy (43'), Paiva (87')
Rojo (68')
Bergessio (37'), Fernandez (41'), Trezza (87')
Bergessio (33'), Candido (51'), Ocampo (60'), Corujo (74'), Garcia (83')
Feb 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Viega (28'), Sosa (57')
Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')
rhs 2.0
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