MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:04:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 16, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
1 - 5
Nacional

Fernandez (52')
Jorge Alberto Silva (25'), Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (47'), Colombino (53'), Silvera (55'), Gonzalez (67'), Pinheiro Goggia (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Recoba (11'), Herazo (17'), Lopez (36' pen., 63' pen.), Gustavo Arady Mata (84')
Millan (41'), Lopez (49'), Oliva (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 4-1 Progreso
Friday, February 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Penarol
Sunday, February 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 10.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.14%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawNacional
10.21% (-0.252 -0.25) 18.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 71.43% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 42.43% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.535 -0.54)47.34% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.497 -0.5)69.56% (0.492 0.49)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.18% (-0.835 -0.84)51.81% (0.83 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.11% (-0.557 -0.56)85.88% (0.551 0.55)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)11.93% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)37.3% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 10.21%
    Nacional 71.42%
    Draw 18.36%
ProgresoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.84% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 10.21%
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.36%
0-2 @ 13.97% (0.23 0.23)
0-1 @ 13.14% (0.25 0.25)
0-3 @ 9.9% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 5.26% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 71.42%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 5
Progreso
0-3
Nacional

Alles (18'), Asconeguy (33'), Gonzalez (60'), Lemmo (78'), Castillo (81')
Coates (45+2'), Mereles de la Quintana (60'), Recoba (66')
Castro (12'), Bentancourt (13')
Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
0-0
Progreso
Zabala (72'), Santander (89'), Polenta (90+7')
Viera (18'), Marta (31'), Colman (60'), Lemmo (87'), Silva (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
0-1
Progreso

Rodriguez (52'), Ocampo (60'), Polenta (89'), Fernandez (90+4')
Colman (57')
Olaizola (4'), Asconeguy (45'), Andrada (64'), Gottesman (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
1-3
Nacional
Fernandez (59')
Ramis (21'), Alles (33'), Asconeguy (43'), Paiva (87')
Rojo (68')
Bergessio (37'), Fernandez (41'), Trezza (87')
Bergessio (33'), Candido (51'), Ocampo (60'), Corujo (74'), Garcia (83')
Feb 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Viega (28'), Sosa (57')
Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')
rhs 2.0
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