MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:07:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Fenix

Penarol
3 - 1
Fenix

Darias (1'), Pereira (24' og.), Fernandez (51')
Darias (38'), Rodriguez (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pereira (28')
Fernandez (30'), Schetino (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 1-5 Penarol
Wednesday, November 27 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Maldonado
Wednesday, November 27 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawFenix
63.47%22.79%13.74%
Both teams to score 40.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48%56.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49%77.51%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62%17.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21%47.78%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.69%51.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.45%85.55%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 63.46%
    Fenix 13.74%
    Draw 22.79%
PenarolDrawFenix
1-0 @ 15.6%
2-0 @ 13.65%
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 13.74%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
2-0
Fenix
Mendez (23'), Batista (52')

Alfaro (44'), Sebastian da Silva Mattos (65')
Jun 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
Fenix
0-1
Penarol

Castillo (86'), Olivera (90+2')
Garcia (52')
Rodriguez (86')
Nov 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Fenix
0-1
Penarol

Carlos (75'), Alles (90+4')
Arezo (52')
Betancor (23'), Mendez (23'), Coelho (48'), Arezo (60')
Apr 29, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Penarol
2-0
Fenix
Sanchez (39'), Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Aug 2, 2022 12am
Gameweek 1
Penarol
0-1
Fenix
Vega (90+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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