Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol3 - 1Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 5-0 Penarol
Thursday, October 24 at 1.45am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, October 24 at 1.45am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
57
We said: Penarol 1-2 Botafogo (Botafogo advance 7-1 on aggregate)
Being so far behind heading into this decisive encounter will force Penarol to employ a very different approach than they are used to, and we do not see them being able to claim such a decisive victory against a side that have conceded the second-fewest goals (26) in the Brasileiro Serie A this year. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.01%), while for a Penarol win it was 1-0 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Botafogo |
26.3% ( 0.11) | 31.35% ( 0.6) | 42.35% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 36.64% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
