Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Dec 13, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol3 - 2Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
| 41.83% | 28.03% | 30.14% |
| Both teams to score 46.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
