MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 05:07:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 0
Nacional

Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawNacional
47.4%26.53%26.07%
Both teams to score 48.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15%55.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03%76.97%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43%23.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36%57.64%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14%36.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.35%73.65%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.39%
    Nacional 26.07%
    Draw 26.53%
PenarolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')
Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Penarol
0-1
Nacional
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nacional
1-2
Penarol
Marichal (65'), Mendez (76')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Ocampo (71'), Candido (84')
Neves (12'), Trasante (52'), Corujo (58'), Cantera (79')

Trindade (22'), Kagelmacher (81'), Acosta (89')
Feb 3, 2021 9.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Urreta (45'), Gargano (81')
Rodriguez (84')
Mendez (72'), Oliveros (86')
Mendez (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool96301771021
2Defensor SportingDefensor9522115617
3Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia9522106417
4Juventud95221512317
5Racing de MontevideoRacing9513106416
6Cerro Largo9351118314
7NacionalNacional93421713413
8CerroCerro934298113
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque92431015-510
10Boston RiverBoston River9234912-39
11PenarolPenarol9234812-49
12DanubioDanubio9081910-18
13Miramar Misiones9225913-48
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers9144911-27
15ProgresoProgreso91441019-97
16River PlateRiver Plate9036815-73


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!