Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 23, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso1 - 3Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Nacional |
| 29.03% | 27.85% | 43.12% |
| Both teams to score 46.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
