Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.