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[monks data]
Wales national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Czech Republic national football team

Wales
1 - 0
Czech Republic

James (82')
Roberts (49'), Lawrence (54')
Roberts (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zima (55'), Jankto (62')
Schick (49')

Preview: Wales vs. Czech Republic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having picked up four points from the first two games, Czech Republic travel to the Principality Stadium on Tuesday for their clash with Wales.

The hosts will aim to kickstart their World Cup Qualifying campaign after they were on the losing end in their opening fixture.


Match preview

Wales' Kieffer Moore celebrates scoring their first goal on March 27, 2021© Reuters

Wales saw their six-game unbeaten streak come to an end as they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Belgium on Wednesday at Den Dreef.

Robert Page's men took the lead inside the opening 10 minutes through Harry Wilson, but goals from Kevin De Bruyne and Thorgan Hazard turned the game on its head going into the interval, before Romelu Lukaku sealed the deal from the spot late in the second half.

The Dragons returned to winning ways straight away with a 1-0 triumph over Mexico on Friday thanks to Kieffer Moore's first-half strike.

Tuesday's hosts are yet to record a victory against their visitors in three previous attempts, but they can draw inspiration from their current home form which has seen them unbeaten on home soil since 2018.

It is also worth mentioning that the most recent of the three meetings between the sides was back in 2007, so perhaps there should not be too much reading into that.

Czech Republic's Lukas Provod celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 27, 2021© Reuters

Czech Republic maintained their unbeaten start in Group E following a 1-1 draw against Belgium at the Eden Arena on Saturday.

Jaroslav Silhavy's men opened the scoring five minutes into the second half through Lukas Provod, but the lead lasted for only 10 minutes as Romelu Lukaku restored parity on the hour mark.

The Narodak remain at the top of the group having picked up a 6-2 win over Estonia prior to their meeting with the side ranked as the best by FIFA.

Tuesday's visitors have not featured in a World Cup since 2006, but their fantastic start to the qualifying round has put them in a good position to end that run.

Wales World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • L

Wales form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Czech Republic World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • D

Czech Republic form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D


Team News

Wales attacker Gareth Bale in action against Belgium on March 24, 2021© Reuters

Joe Allen was forced off with an injury against Belgium, and he is expected to be unavailable for the visit of the Czechs.

Caretaker manager Robert Page rotated the team for the friendly against Mexico last time out, but he is expected to field his strongest XI for this one.

Kieffer Moore has scored in consecutive home games for Wales, and he will fancy himself to extend that run against a side that have conceded in each of their last seven away games.

Tomas Soucek netted three times in his side's demolition of Estonia, and no player has scored more goals than him in the qualifiers so far.

Lukas Provod is not far off his compatriot in the scoring charts after bagging goals in back-to-back games for his country.

Wales possible starting lineup:
Ward; Lawrence, Rodon, Mepham; Williams, Ampadu, Morrell, Roberts; James, Wilson, Bale

Czech Republic possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Boril, Celustka, Kudela, Coufal; Holes, Jankto, Soucek, Barak, Provod; Krmencik


SM words green background

We say: Wales 1-1 Czech Republic

The game is expected to be an intense battle between two teams who are favourites to finish as runners-up behind Belgium. We fancy the teams to match each other all the way and expect the points to be split in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.


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James Lawrence pictured for Wales in September 2019
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