MX23RW : Friday, January 24 06:49:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
26.84%22.45%50.7%
Both teams to score 62.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.91%60.09%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05%61.95%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24%43.76%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 26.84%
    Caernarfon Town 50.7%
    Draw 22.45%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.66%
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.84%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.95%
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 50.7%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
Sep 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-3
Caernarfon
Phillips (30'), Mendes (90')
Roberts (45'), Edwards (55'), Baynes (65')
Edwards (20'), Craig (34' pen.), Smith (54')
Dec 14, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
4-0
Aberystwyth
Craig (13' pen., 60' pen.), Bradley (62'), Thomas (68')

Goodall (12'), Walker (42'), Baynes (47')
Walker (42')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-0
Caernarfon
Walker (38'), Ahmadi (45'), Goodall (51')
Craig (13'), Ramsay (84')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!