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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Connah's Quay


Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
15.17%19.59%65.24%
Both teams to score 53.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2%40.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81%63.19%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39%39.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71%76.29%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27%11.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12%36.88%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 15.17%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 65.24%
    Draw 19.59%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 4.31%
2-1 @ 4.27%
2-0 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.17%
1-1 @ 9.22%
0-0 @ 4.65%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.59%
0-2 @ 10.67%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 7.06%
0-4 @ 4.08%
1-4 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.27%
2-4 @ 1.75%
0-5 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 65.24%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
1-0
Aberystwyth
Curran (30')

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')
Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
1-3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-1
Aberystwyth
Morris (12'), Wignall (25'), Bakare (46'), Poole (85')
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
Phillips (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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