Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
