Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 2Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
24.52% ( -0.65) | 22.71% ( 0.03) | 52.77% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
