MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:28:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Venables (45+2', 76'), John Williams (90+11' og.)
Pennock (31'), Yorwerth (66'), Little (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Richard Williams (31'), Mooney (90+8')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
52.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 23.12% (0.032 0.03) 23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.77% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-0.131 -0.13)43.64% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (-0.128 -0.13)66.03% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)16.48% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (-0.111 -0.11)46.2% (0.114 0.11)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)32.03% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)68.49% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 52.93%
    Caernarfon Town 23.96%
    Draw 23.12%
Pen-y-BontDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
5-1
Caernarfon
Reffell (9'), Reynolds (17'), Yorwerth (32'), Georgievsky (72'), Tweedy (82')
Cartwright (78')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Caernarfon
0-2
Pen-y-Bont
Wood (22'), Reynolds (70')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Caernarfon
Wood (35')
Evans (61')
Jones (67')
Edwards (13'), Donohue (33'), Hughes (62')
May 1, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Bickerstaff (20'), Bradley (90+4')
Owen (34'), Harling (70')
Davies (78'), Evans (83')
rhs 2.0
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