Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.96% ( -0.31) | 17.64% ( 0.15) | 13.4% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.5% ( -0.35) | 35.49% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.46% ( -0.39) | 57.54% ( 0.39) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.67% ( -0.17) | 9.32% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.55% ( -0.39) | 31.44% ( 0.39) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( -0.01) | 38.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% | 75.42% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont 68.96%
Caernarfon Town 13.4%
Draw 17.64%
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.64% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.4% |
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Lloyd (20'), Clarke (26' pen.), Bradley (37')
Gosset (44'), Donohue (72')
Gosset (44'), Donohue (72')
Reynolds (90+1')
Harling (29'), Reffell (72')
Harling (29'), Reffell (72')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
2-4
Pen-y-Bont
Venables (7', 64', 90+1'), Jefferies (25')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Caernarfon
Richard Williams (31'), Mooney (90+8')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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