Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 4New Saints
(37'), (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 27.69% | 24.3% | 48.01% |
| Both teams to score 56.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
