Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU4 - 2Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
38.41% ( 0.48) | 24.45% ( -0.04) | 37.14% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
