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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
43.68% (0.107 0.11) 24.74% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.34% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.157 0.16)45.63% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.147 0.15)67.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.11199999999999 0.11)20.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.175 0.18)53.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)27.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)62.94% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.68%
    Cardiff MU 31.58%
    Draw 24.74%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.58%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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