Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2

Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MU	Draw	Caernarfon Town
50.98% ( 0.31)	22.65% ( -0.05)	26.36% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 61% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

0.02)

39.2% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

0.02)

61.53% (

-0.02)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44% (

0.11)

15.56% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.49% (

0.21)

44.5% (

-0.21)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.18)

27.75% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.23)

63.33% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Cardiff MU 50.98%

Caernarfon Town 26.36%

Draw 22.64%

Cardiff MU	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.36%