Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.