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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 3
Aberystwyth

Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62' pen.)
Davies (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
40.83%25.51%33.66%
Both teams to score 55.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61%48.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48%70.52%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48%57.52%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02%62.97%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 40.83%
    Aberystwyth Town 33.66%
    Draw 25.5%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Aberystwyth
Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4')
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Caernarfon
Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
Sep 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-3
Caernarfon
Phillips (30'), Mendes (90')
Roberts (45'), Edwards (55'), Baynes (65')
Edwards (20'), Craig (34' pen.), Smith (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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