Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 3Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 40.83% | 25.51% | 33.66% |
| Both teams to score 55.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
