Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Haverfordwest2 - 3Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bala Town | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 4 | -1 | 6 |
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Newtown AFC |
57.95% ( -0.45) | 23.1% ( 0.11) | 18.96% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
