Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.