Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Druids had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
