Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
